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  • session 2

    Title

    Modeling and Risk Analysis

    Description

    This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogs and active avoidance, including evasive manoeuvres.

    Date

    2008-09-30

    Time

    10:00

    Room

    Gala 2

    IPC members
    • Chairman: Dr. Mark J. Matney, National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), United States;

    • Chairman: Dr. Carmen Pardini, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    • Rapporteur: Mr. Ailyam S. Ganeshan, ISRO Satellite Centre (ISAC), India;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    material density distribution of small debris in earth orbit

    presentation

    Dr. Paula H. Krisko

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

    United States

    2

    On using board measurements for improvement of space debris models

    presentation

    Dr. Sergey Meshcheryakov

    TSNIIMASH

    Russian Federation

    3

    A Novel Approach for the GEO Validation of the MASTER Model

    presentation

    Dr. Michael Oswald

    EADS Astrium

    Germany

    4

    ORBITAL PROPAGATOR: REFINED ORBITAL PROJECTIONS OF A SUBLIMATING ICE PARTICLE

    presentation

    Dr. Evgeny Menkin

    ARES Aerospace

    United States

    5

    Relative Velocity as a Metric for Probability of Collision Calculations

    presentation

    Mr. Ryan Frigm

    a.i. solutions, Inc.

    United States

    6

    The NASA Robotic Conjunction Assessment Process: Overview and Operational Experiences

    presentation

    Mrs. Lauri Newman

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), Ames Research Center

    United States

    7

    A New Bond Albedo for Performing Orbital Debris Brightness to Size Transformations

    presentation

    Dr. Mark Mulrooney

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

    United States

    8

    Future Satellite Failure Risk due to Hypervelocity Impacts

    presentation

    Mr. Sven Kevin Flegel

    Technische Universität Braunschweig

    Germany

    9

    Controlling the growth of future LEO debris populations with active debris removal

    presentation

    Dr. J.-C. Liou

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

    United States

    10

    Damage Cost of Space Debris Impacts on Historical Satellites

    presentation

    Dr. Carsten Wiedemann

    Technical University of Braunschweig

    Germany

    11

    USA-193 decay predictions with public domain trajectory data and assessment of the post-intercept orbital debris cloud

    presentation

    Dr. Carmen Pardini

    ISTI-CNR

    Italy