IAF Digital Library

2

session 2

Title: Modelling and Risk Analysis
Description: This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogs and active avoidance, including evasive manœuvres.
Date: 2010-09-28
Time: 15:15
Room: Terrasse 2

IPC members

Chairman: Ms. Clare Martin, UK Space Agency, United Kingdom;
Chairman: Dr. Paula H. Krisko, National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), United States;
Rapporteur: Dr. Luciano Anselmo, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

papers
Order	Time	Paper title	Mode	Presentation status	Speaker	Affiliation	Country
1		Validation of the ESA-MASTER-2009 space debris population	18	confirmed	Mr. Johannes Gelhaus	Technische Universität Braunschweig	Germany
2		Modeling of LEO orbital debris populations in centimeter and millimeter size regimes	18	withdrawn	Dr. Yu-Lin Xu	ESCG/Jacobs	United States
3		ORDEM2010 and MASTER-2009 modeled small debris population comparison	18		Dr. Paula H. Krisko	National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)	United States
4		multi-layer insulation model for master-2009	18	confirmed	Mr. Sven Kevin Flegel	Technische Universität Braunschweig	Germany
5		A parametric study on using active debris removal to stabilize the future LEO debris environment	18	confirmed	Dr. J.-C. Liou	National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)	United States
6		orbital evolution of high area-to-mass ratio debris under the influence of the radiation pressure and gravitational effects	18	confirmed	Dr. Haowen Cheng	National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences	China
7		explicit expression of collision probability for space objects in arbitrary-shape orbit	18	confirmed	Mr. Xianzong Bai	National University of Defense Technology	China
8		Evaluation of the TLE Predictions for Conjunction Assessment	18	confirmed	Ms. Chikako Hirose	Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA)	Japan
9		Optimal Collision Avoidance Maneuver to Maintain a LEO Station Keeping	18	confirmed	Dr. Hae-Dong Kim	Korea Aerospace Research Institute (KARI)	Korea, Republic of
10		Effects of Space Debris on the Cost of Space Operation	18	confirmed	Dr. William Ailor	The Aerospace Corporation	United States