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  • session 2

    Title

    Modelling and Risk Analysis

    Description

    This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogs and active avoidance, including evasive manœuvres.

    Date

    2010-09-28

    Time

    15:15

    Room

    Terrasse 2

    IPC members
    • Chairman: Ms. Clare Martin, UK Space Agency, United Kingdom;

    • Chairman: Dr. Paula H. Krisko, National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), United States;

    • Rapporteur: Dr. Luciano Anselmo, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    Validation of the ESA-MASTER-2009 space debris population

    18

    confirmed

    Mr. Johannes Gelhaus

    Technische Universität Braunschweig

    Germany

    2

    Modeling of LEO orbital debris populations in centimeter and millimeter size regimes

    18

    withdrawn

    Dr. Yu-Lin Xu

    ESCG/Jacobs

    United States

    3

    ORDEM2010 and MASTER-2009 modeled small debris population comparison

    18

    Dr. Paula H. Krisko

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

    United States

    4

    multi-layer insulation model for master-2009

    18

    confirmed

    Mr. Sven Kevin Flegel

    Technische Universität Braunschweig

    Germany

    5

    A parametric study on using active debris removal to stabilize the future LEO debris environment

    18

    confirmed

    Dr. J.-C. Liou

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

    United States

    6

    orbital evolution of high area-to-mass ratio debris under the influence of the radiation pressure and gravitational effects

    18

    confirmed

    Dr. Haowen Cheng

    National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences

    China

    7

    explicit expression of collision probability for space objects in arbitrary-shape orbit

    18

    confirmed

    Mr. Xianzong Bai

    National University of Defense Technology

    China

    8

    Evaluation of the TLE Predictions for Conjunction Assessment

    18

    confirmed

    Ms. Chikako Hirose

    Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA)

    Japan

    9

    Optimal Collision Avoidance Maneuver to Maintain a LEO Station Keeping

    18

    confirmed

    Dr. Hae-Dong Kim

    Korea Aerospace Research Institute (KARI)

    Korea, Republic of

    10

    Effects of Space Debris on the Cost of Space Operation

    18

    confirmed

    Dr. William Ailor

    The Aerospace Corporation

    United States