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  • session 2

    Title

    Modelling and Risk Analysis

    Description

    This session will address the characterisation of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.

    Date

    2012-10-02

    Time

    10:15

    Room

    TS02 (Sala Centauri, Hall 2)

    IPC members
    • Chairman: Dr. Luciano Anselmo, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    • Chairman: Dr. Carsten Wiedemann, TU Braunschweig, Institute of Space Systems, Germany;

    • Rapporteur: Prof. Toshiya Hanada, Kyushu University, Japan;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    A new approach for conjunction analysis and collision risk ranking

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Nicolas Bérend

    Office National d’Etudes et de Recherches Aérospatiales (ONERA)

    France

    2

    Computing Collision Probability Using Differential Algebra and Advanced Monte Carlo Methods

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Alessandro Morselli

    Politecnico di Milano

    Italy

    3

    A cloud based conjunction analysis and visualisation tool using a powerful filtering method and state of the art software technologies

    18'

    no-show

    Mr. Daniel Novak

    Logica Deutschland GmbH&Co. KG

    Germany

    4

    Analysis of Uncertainties of Catalogued Orbital Data for the Update of the ESA DRAMA ARES tool

    18'

    confirmed

    Ms. Noelia Sánchez-Ortiz

    Deimos Space S.L.

    Spain

    5

    LONG-TERM DYNAMICS OF HIGH AREA-TO-MASS RATIO SPACE DEBRIS IN GEO

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Aaron Rosengren

    Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research, University of Colorado

    United States

    6

    Attitude Motion of Space Debris Objects under Influence of Solar Radiation Pressure

    18'

    confirmed

    Prof. Thomas Schildknecht

    Astronomical Institute University of Bern (AIUB)

    Switzerland

    7

    Sensitivity Study of LEO Debris Hazard Evolution

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Frank Di Pentino

    Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)

    United States

    8

    Ranking and Characterization of Heavy Debris for Active Removal

    18'

    confirmed

    Dr. Jens Utzmann

    EADS Astrium Satellites

    Germany

    9

    The effects of solar maximum on the Earth's satellite population and space situational awareness

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Nicholas L. Johnson

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

    United States

    10

    Modelling and estimation of the phobos-grunt parameters of motion and re-entry

    18'

    confirmed

    Ms. Natalia Golubtsova

    Central Research Institute of Machine Building

    Russian Federation

    11

    Risk mitigation activities for potential collision avoidance events for COSMO-SkyMed constellation in flight operations

    Poster

    confirmed

    Dr. Fabio D'Amico

    Italian Space Agency (ASI)

    Italy

    12

    Dynamic and control based on singular perturbation theory of free floating flexible space manipulator during capture uncertain debris

    Poster

    Mr. Qiuhuang Dong

    Fuzhou University

    China

    13

    Priority Targets for Active Debris Removal Missions.

    Poster

    confirmed

    Mr. Chijioke (CJ) Nwosa

    Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC)

    South Africa

    14

    The Space-based Telescopes for Actionable Refinement of Ephemeris (STARE) mission

    Poster

    Dr. Willem De Vries

    Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

    United States

    15

    Modeling and measurement of electromagnetic scattering by space debris

    Poster

    Mr. Fei Dai

    China

    16

    A Proposed Model for Predictions of Re-entry Time and Impact Locations of Risk Objects and Assessment of Atmospheric Density Models

    Poster

    confirmed

    Dr. Himani Saini

    Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO)

    India

    17

    Supporting conjunction event assessment by acquiring tracking data

    Poster

    confirmed

    Mr. Benjamin Bastida Virgili

    European Space Agency (ESA)

    Germany

    18

    Using the Design for Demise Philosophy to Reduce Casualty Risk Due to Reentering Spacecraft

    Poster

    confirmed

    Mr. Robert Kelley

    ESCG/Jacobs

    United States

    19

    Geostationary orbit anomaly detection base on dispersion of drift rate

    Poster

    Mr. Xianzong Bai

    National University of Defense Technology

    China

    20

    Adaptive Strategies for Space Debris Mitigation and Remediation

    Poster

    confirmed

    Mr. Adam White

    University of Southampton

    United Kingdom