Measurements of the Small Particle Debris Cloud from the 11 January, 2007 Chinese Anti-Satellite Test

Paper number

IAC-08.A6.1.8

Author

Dr. Mark J. Matney, National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), United States

Coauthor

Mr. Eugene Stansbery, National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), United States

Coauthor

Dr. J.-C. Liou, ESCG/ERC, United States

Coauthor

Dr. Christopher Stokely, Barrios Technology, Inc., United States

Coauthor

Mr. Matthew Horstman, ESCG/ERC, United States

Coauthor

Mr. David Whitlock, ESCG/Hamilton Sundstrand, United States

Year

2008

Abstract

On January 11, 2007, the Chinese military conducted a test of an anti-satellite (ASAT) system, destroying their own Fengyun-1C spacecraft with an interceptor missile.  The resulting hypervelocity collision created an unprecedented number of tracked debris - more than 2500 objects.  These objects represent only those large enough for the US Space Surveillance Network (SSN) to track - typically objects larger than about 5-10 cm in diameter.  There are expected to be even more debris objects at sizes too small to be seen and tracked by the SSN.  Because of the altitude of the target satellite (865 x 845 km orbit), many of the debris are expected to have long orbital lifetimes and contribute to the orbital debris environment for decades to come.  

In the days and weeks following the ASAT test, NASA was able to use Lincoln Laboratory’s Haystack radar on several occasions to observe portions of the ASAT debris cloud.  Haystack has the capability of detecting objects down to less than one centimeter in diameter, and a large number of centimeter-sized particles corresponding to the ASAT cloud were clearly seen in the data.   While Haystack cannot track these objects, the statistical sampling procedures NASA uses can give an accurate statistical picture of the characteristics of the debris from a breakup event.

For years computer models based on data from ground hypervelocity collision tests (e.g., the SOCIT test) and orbital collision experiments (e.g., the P-78 and Delta-180 on-orbit collisions) have been used to predict the extent and characteristics of such hypervelocity collision debris clouds, but until now there have not been good ways to verify these models in the centimeter size regime.  It is believed that unplanned collisions of objects in space similar to ASAT tests will drive the long-term future evolution of the debris environment in near-Earth space.  Therefore, the Chinese ASAT test provides an excellent opportunity to test the models used to predict the future debris environment.

For this study, Haystack detection events are compared to model predictions to test the model assumptions, including debris size distribution, velocity distribution, and assumptions about momentum transfer between the target and interceptor.  In this paper we will present the results of these and other measurements on the size and extent of collisional breakup debris clouds.

Abstract document

IAC-08.A6.1.8.pdf

Manuscript document

IAC-08.A6.1.8.pdf (🔒 authorized access only).

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