Space monitoring and earthquakes forecasts, international cooperation

Paper number

IAC-10.B1.1.9

Author

Prof. Nickolay N. Smirnov, Moscow Lomonosov State University, Russia

Coauthor

Mr. Leonid Doda, Scientific Centre for Earth Monitoring, Russia

Coauthor

Mr. Ivan Stepanov, Scientific Centre for Earth Monitoring, Russia

Coauthor

Dr. Vladimir Natyaganov, Faculty of Mechanics and Mathematics Moscow M.V.Lomonosov State University, Russia

Year

2010

Abstract

The latest results on short-term forecasts of earthquakes in different regions are presented based on a new concept of seismo-tecto-genesis. The model approaches to theoretical explanations are discussed.
The main attention is paid to a series of earthquakes 03.08.09 in the bay of California, which was triggered by a severe geomagnetic storm; Kamchatka earthquake having reactivated four volcanoes; Haiti 12.01.10. The results of joint Russian-Taiwanese seismic activity forecast experiment will be discussed, which resulted in three forecasted earthquakes 03.10.09, 05.11.09 and 08.02.10 in the predicted zone and of predicted magnitude.
Analysis of lithosphere response on Korean nuclear explosion 25.05.09, and huge peaceful explosion in Kirgizstan 22.12.09 made it possible suggesting new method of determining explosion energy based on cloud structures induced by seismic activities and radon/hydrogen eruptions. The support of Russian Foundation for basic research is gratefully acknowledged (project 08-08-00712)

Abstract document

IAC-10.B1.1.9.brief.pdf

Manuscript document

IAC-10.B1.1.9.pdf (🔒 authorized access only).

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