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  • Earth to Orbit Space Transportation Market Industry Structural Analysis

    Paper number

    IAC-14,E6,P,10,x22040

    Author

    Mr. Ken Davidian, Federal Aviation Administration Office of Commercial Space Transportation (FAA/AST), United States

    Coauthor

    Mr. Dustin Kaiser, Futron Corporation, United States

    Year

    2014

    Abstract
    Under contract to the Federal Aviation Administration’s Office of Commercial Space Transportation (FAA AST), the Futron Corporation conducted an industry structural analysis for the emerging commercial earth-to-orbit (ETO) space transportation market. Porter’s market environment model is based on the theory of industrial organizational economics and predicts market profitability of an industry segment as a function of five “forces”: (1) Threat of Entry, (2) Intensity of Rivalry Among Existing Competitors, (3) Pressure from Substitute Products, (4) Bargaining Power of Buyers and (5) Bargaining Power of Suppliers. The first force is primarily comprised of two components, (a) Barriers of Entry (BOEs) and (b) Expected Retaliation from competitors. The BOEs are divided into seven categories, including (i) Economies of Scale, (ii) Product Differentiation, (iii) Capital Requirements, (iv) Switching Costs, (v) Access to Distribution Channels, (vi) Cost Disadvantages Independent of Scale and (vii) Government Policy. The primary goal of this paper is to summarize the results of the overall industry structure analysis with special emphasis on the seven BOE categories of the emerging ETO space transportation market.
    Abstract document

    IAC-14,E6,P,10,x22040.brief.pdf

    Manuscript document

    (absent)