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  • Flood susceptibility mapping using earth observation data and tree-based ensemble machine learning: case study of Wouri Estuary in Cameroon

    Paper number

    IAC-23,B1,IP,31,x80184

    Author

    Mr. Chukwuma Okolie, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Nigeria

    Coauthor

    Mr. Stephane Lako Mbouendeu, Cameroon

    Coauthor

    Mr. Abdulwaheed Tella, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), China

    Coauthor

    Mr. Charles-aimé Nzeussi Mbouendeu, International Space University (ISU), France

    Coauthor

    Mr. Ikenna Arungwa,  Federal University of Technology Owerri (FUTO), Nigeria

    Coauthor

    Mr. Swarnajyoti Mukherjee, Apogeo Space Srl, Italy

    Coauthor

    Mr. Krittanon Sirorattanakul, California Institute of Technology, United States

    Coauthor

    Mr. Jubril Okeyode, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Nigeria

    Coauthor

    Dr. Barthelemy Ndongo, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Cameroon

    Coauthor

    Ms. Lisah Ligono, Kenya

    Coauthor

    Ms. Chnomnso Onwubiko, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Nigeria

    Coauthor

    Dr. Ngozi Johnson, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Nigeria

    Coauthor

    Dr. Ugonna Nkwunonwo, United Kingdom

    Coauthor

    Mr. Hassan Musa, AHMADU BELLO UNIVERSITY, Nigeria

    Coauthor

    Mr. FRANCK ERIC TCHAMENI, Cameroon

    Coauthor

    Mr. Ayila Adzandeh, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Nigeria

    Coauthor

    Mr. Junior Iroume, Institute of Geological and Mining Research, Cameroon

    Coauthor

    Mr. AbdulAzeez Onotu Aliyu, AHMADU BELLO UNIVERSITY, Nigeria

    Coauthor

    Ms. Daniela Vargas-Sanabria, Universidad Estatal a Distancia (UNED), Costa Rica

    Coauthor

    Dr. Desire Muhire, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Austria

    Coauthor

    Mr. Ishaku Yakubu, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Nigeria

    Coauthor

    Ms. Syeada Tasnim, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Bangladesh

    Coauthor

    Mr. Abinash Silwal, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Nepal

    Coauthor

    Dr. Carole Bonguen, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Cameroon

    Coauthor

    Mr. Adedoyin Ajeyomi, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Nigeria

    Coauthor

    Mr. Dan Yang Damakoa, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), Cameroon

    Coauthor

    Ms. Anshul Dixit, Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC), India

    Year

    2023

    Abstract
    The REFRA-SOS (Realtime Flood Risk Assessment in developing countries using Social media, Optical and SAR satellite data) project aims to mitigate flooding disaster risk in Cameroon by using the latest technologies available. To date, our studies have mapped communities located in flood prone areas of Doula Estuary in Cameroon. The impact of flooding is debilitating on livelihoods and socio-economic activities. In the present study, we adopt tree-based ensemble machine learning algorithms integrated with earth observation data for flood susceptibility mapping in Douala. Tree-based ensembles present several advantages such as interpretability, less data preparation, tolerance to multicollinearity, versatility, and ability to handle non-linear and complex relationships. Eleven flood conditioning factors (elevation, slope, topographic wetness index, terrain ruggedness index, distance to water bodies, drainage density, annual rainfall distribution, land use/land cover, soil texture, normalised difference vegetation index and modified normalised difference water index) will be integrated for flood prediction using the random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), light boosting machine (LightGBM) and categorical boosting (CatBoost) algorithms. The overall accuracy of the flood susceptibility map will be assessed to determine its sensitivity and robustness, and the performance models will be compared in terms of training speed and prediction accuracy. The findings will have important implications for policy makers involved in flood management and disaster risk reduction in coastal cities, particularly in Cameroon. By promoting the use of satellite-based data and machine learning approaches, the study aims to improve disaster risk reduction strategies and promote sustainable development in coastal cities.
    Abstract document

    IAC-23,B1,IP,31,x80184.brief.pdf

    Manuscript document

    (absent)