session 2

Title

Modelling and Risk Analysis

Description

This session will address the characterisation of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.

Date

2012-10-02

Time

10:15

Room

TS02 (Sala Centauri, Hall 2)

IPC members
papers

Order

Time

Paper title

Selection result

Mode

Presentation status

Speaker

Affiliation

Country

1

A new approach for conjunction analysis and collision risk ranking

accepted

18'

confirmed

Mr. Nicolas Bérend

Office National d’Etudes et de Recherches Aérospatiales (ONERA)

France

2

Computing Collision Probability Using Differential Algebra and Advanced Monte Carlo Methods

accepted

18'

confirmed

Mr. Alessandro Morselli

Politecnico di Milano

Italy

3

A cloud based conjunction analysis and visualisation tool using a powerful filtering method and state of the art software technologies

accepted

18'

no-show

Mr. Daniel Novak

Logica Deutschland GmbH&Co. KG

Germany

4

Analysis of Uncertainties of Catalogued Orbital Data for the Update of the ESA DRAMA ARES tool

accepted

18'

confirmed

Ms. Noelia Sánchez-Ortiz

Deimos Space S.L.

Spain

5

LONG-TERM DYNAMICS OF HIGH AREA-TO-MASS RATIO SPACE DEBRIS IN GEO

accepted

18'

confirmed

Mr. Aaron Rosengren

Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research, University of Colorado

United States

6

Attitude Motion of Space Debris Objects under Influence of Solar Radiation Pressure

accepted

18'

confirmed

Prof. Thomas Schildknecht

Astronomical Institute University of Bern (AIUB)

Switzerland

7

Sensitivity Study of LEO Debris Hazard Evolution

accepted

18'

confirmed

Mr. Frank Di Pentino

Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)

United States

8

Ranking and Characterization of Heavy Debris for Active Removal

accepted

18'

confirmed

Dr. Jens Utzmann

EADS Astrium Satellites

Germany

9

The effects of solar maximum on the Earth's satellite population and space situational awareness

accepted

18'

confirmed

Mr. Nicholas L. Johnson

National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

United States

10

Modelling and estimation of the phobos-grunt parameters of motion and re-entry

accepted

18'

confirmed

Ms. Natalia Golubtsova

Central Research Institute of Machine Building

Russian Federation

11

Risk mitigation activities for potential collision avoidance events for COSMO-SkyMed constellation in flight operations

accepted

Poster

confirmed

Dr. Fabio D'Amico

Italian Space Agency (ASI)

Italy

12

Dynamic and control based on singular perturbation theory of free floating flexible space manipulator during capture uncertain debris

accepted

Poster

Mr. Qiuhuang Dong

Fuzhou University

China

13

Priority Targets for Active Debris Removal Missions.

accepted

Poster

confirmed

Mr. Chijioke (CJ) Nwosa

Space Generation Advisory Council (SGAC)

South Africa

14

The Space-based Telescopes for Actionable Refinement of Ephemeris (STARE) mission

accepted

Poster

Dr. Willem De Vries

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

United States

15

Modeling and measurement of electromagnetic scattering by space debris

accepted

Poster

Mr. Fei Dai

China

16

A Proposed Model for Predictions of Re-entry Time and Impact Locations of Risk Objects and Assessment of Atmospheric Density Models

accepted

Poster

confirmed

Dr. Himani Saini

Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO)

India

17

Supporting conjunction event assessment by acquiring tracking data

accepted

Poster

confirmed

Mr. Benjamin Bastida Virgili

European Space Agency (ESA)

Germany

18

Using the Design for Demise Philosophy to Reduce Casualty Risk Due to Reentering Spacecraft

accepted

Poster

confirmed

Mr. Robert Kelley

ESCG/Jacobs

United States

19

Geostationary orbit anomaly detection base on dispersion of drift rate

accepted

Poster

Mr. Xianzong Bai

National University of Defense Technology

China

20

Adaptive Strategies for Space Debris Mitigation and Remediation

accepted

Poster

confirmed

Mr. Adam White

University of Southampton

United Kingdom