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  • session 2

    Title

    Modelling and Risk Analysis

    Description

    This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collission risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.

    Date

    2014-09-30

    Time

    09:45

    Room

    801B

    IPC members
    • Co-Chair: Dr. Luciano Anselmo, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    • Co-Chair: Dr. Mark Matney, National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), Johnson Space Center, United States;

    • Rapporteur: Prof. Toshiya Hanada, Kyushu University, Japan;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    Massive Collisions in LEO - A Catalyst to Initiate ADR

    18'

    confirmed

    Dr. Darren McKnight

    Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)

    United States

    2

    discussion on the necessity of orbital debris removal in the geostationary region

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Satoshi Furuta

    Kyushu University

    Japan

    3

    sensitivity analysis of the long term evolution of space debris population in leo

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Juan Carlos Dolado Perez

    Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES)

    France

    4

    The effect of modelling assumptions on predictions of the space debris environment

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Richard Blake

    University of Southampton

    United Kingdom

    5

    Influence of solar activity on long term propagations

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Benjamin Bastida Virgili

    European Space Agency (ESA)

    Germany

    6

    Deriving the spacecraft environment criticality from Monte-Carlo simulations of the space debris environment

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Jonas Radtke

    Technische Universität Braunschweig

    Germany

    7

    Evaluation index for the ranking of LEO objects

    18'

    confirmed

    Dr. Elisa Maria Alessi

    IFAC-CNR

    Italy

    8

    ORDEM 3.0 and MASTER-2009 modeled small debris population comparison

    18'

    confirmed

    Dr. Paula H. Krisko

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

    United States

    9

    ORDEM 3.0 and the Risk of High-Density Debris

    18'

    withdrawn

    Dr. Mark Matney

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), Johnson Space Center

    United States

    10

    Hypervelocity Impact Testing of DebriSat to Improve Satellite Breakup Modeling

    18'

    confirmed

    Mr. Moises Rivero

    University of Florida

    United States