IAF Digital Library

2

session 2

Title: Modelling and Risk Analysis
Description: This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collission risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.
Date: 2015-10-13
Time: 09:45
Room: Eshkol 2 (ICC, lower level)

IPC members

Co-Chair: Dr. Carmen Pardini, ISTI-CNR, Italy;
Co-Chair: Mr. Marlon Sorge, The Aerospace Corporation, United States;
Rapporteur: Mr. Sven Kevin Flegel, European Space Agency (ESA), Germany;

papers
Order	Time	Paper title	Mode	Presentation status	Speaker	Affiliation	Country
1		Comparing Long-Term Projections of the Space Debris Environment to Real World Data - Looking Back to 1990	16'	confirmed	Mr. Jonas Radtke	Technische Universität Braunschweig	Germany
2		Recent Enhancements to ADEPT and Sample Debris Environment Projections	16'	confirmed	Mr. Alan B. Jenkin	The Aerospace Corporation	United States
3		The method of predicting space debris in low-Earth orbits, taking into account mutual collisions and active debris removal	16'	confirmed	Mr. Igor Usovik	Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research Institute, MAI)	Russian Federation
4		Analysis of Assumptions in Debris Environment Evolution Models	16'	confirmed	Dr. David Finkleman	SkySentry, LLC	United States
5		The Effect of Uncertainties on the Effectiveness of Mitigation and Remediation Measures	16'	confirmed	Mr. Juan Carlos Dolado Perez	Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES)	France
6		Characterization of abandoned rocket body families for active removal	16'	confirmed	Dr. Carmen Pardini	ISTI-CNR	Italy
7		Developing a Tactical Adjunct to ADR to Insure a Sustainable Space Environment	16'	confirmed	Dr. Darren McKnight	Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)	United States
8		IMPACT Fragmentation Model Developments	16'	confirmed	Mr. Marlon Sorge	The Aerospace Corporation	United States
9		Characterization of Debris from the DebriSat Hypervelocity Test	16'	confirmed	Mr. Moises Rivero	University of Florida	United States
10		Orbit evolution of specular non-spherical space debris objects with high area to mass ratio.	16'	confirmed	Mr. Nikolay Sakva	Federal state unitary enterprise "Central Scientific Research Institute of machine-building" (TsNIIMASH)	Russian Federation
11		A Risk Assessment Tool For Highly Energetic Break-Up Events During The Atmospheric Re-Entry.	16'	confirmed	Ms. Cristina De Persis	Trinity College	Ireland