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  • session 2

    Title

    Modelling and Risk Analysis

    type

    oral

    Description

    This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collission risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.

    Date

    2015-10-13

    Time

    09:45

    Room

    Eshkol 2 (ICC, lower level)

    IPC members
    • Co-Chair: Dr. Carmen Pardini, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    • Co-Chair: Mr. Marlon Sorge, The Aerospace Corporation, United States;

    • Rapporteur: Mr. Sven Kevin Flegel, European Space Agency (ESA), Germany;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    Comparing Long-Term Projections of the Space Debris Environment to Real World Data - Looking Back to 1990

    16'

    confirmed

    Mr. Jonas Radtke

    Technische Universität Braunschweig

    Germany

    2

    Recent Enhancements to ADEPT and Sample Debris Environment Projections

    16'

    confirmed

    Mr. Alan B. Jenkin

    The Aerospace Corporation

    United States

    3

    The method of predicting space debris in low-Earth orbits, taking into account mutual collisions and active debris removal

    16'

    confirmed

    Mr. Igor Usovik

    Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research Institute, MAI)

    Russian Federation

    4

    Analysis of Assumptions in Debris Environment Evolution Models

    16'

    confirmed

    Dr. David Finkleman

    SkySentry, LLC

    United States

    5

    The Effect of Uncertainties on the Effectiveness of Mitigation and Remediation Measures

    16'

    confirmed

    Mr. Juan Carlos Dolado Perez

    Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES)

    France

    6

    Characterization of abandoned rocket body families for active removal

    16'

    confirmed

    Dr. Carmen Pardini

    ISTI-CNR

    Italy

    7

    Developing a Tactical Adjunct to ADR to Insure a Sustainable Space Environment

    16'

    confirmed

    Dr. Darren McKnight

    Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)

    United States

    8

    IMPACT Fragmentation Model Developments

    16'

    confirmed

    Mr. Marlon Sorge

    The Aerospace Corporation

    United States

    9

    Characterization of Debris from the DebriSat Hypervelocity Test

    16'

    confirmed

    Mr. Moises Rivero

    University of Florida

    United States

    10

    Orbit evolution of specular non-spherical space debris objects with high area to mass ratio.

    16'

    confirmed

    Mr. Nikolay Sakva

    Federal state unitary enterprise "Central Scientific Research Institute of machine-building" (TsNIIMASH)

    Russian Federation

    11

    A Risk Assessment Tool For Highly Energetic Break-Up Events During The Atmospheric Re-Entry.

    16'

    confirmed

    Ms. Cristina De Persis

    Trinity College

    Ireland