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  • session 2

    Title

    Modelling and Risk Analysis

    type

    oral

    Description

    This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collission risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.

    Date

    2017-09-26

    Time

    09:45

    Room

    Hall E1

    IPC members
    • Co-Chair: Dr. Carmen Pardini, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    • Co-Chair: Mr. Dan Oltrogge, COMSPOC Corp., United States;

    • Rapporteur: Mr. Marlon Sorge, The Aerospace Corporation, United States;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    Preliminary Analysis of Two Years of the Massive Collision Monitoring Activity

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Darren McKnight

    Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)

    United States

    2

    Mitigation Measures for Large Constellations

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Hugh Lewis

    University of Southampton

    United Kingdom

    3

    Towards State Uncertainty Accuracy Requirements for Actionable GEO Collision Risk Assessments

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Sven Kevin Flegel

    Space Environment Research Centre Ltd. (SERC)

    Australia

    4

    A Comprehensive Assessment of Collision Risk in Geosynchronous Earth Orbit

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Daniel Oltrogge

    Analytical Graphics, Inc.

    United States

    5

    Analysis of Initial Debris Fragment Characterization from DebriSat

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Marlon Sorge

    The Aerospace Corporation

    United States

    6

    Evolution of Fragmentation Cloud in Highly Eccentric Orbit using Representative Objects

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Stefan Frey

    Politecnico di Milano

    Italy

    7

    Dynamical mapping of the LEO region for passive disposal design

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Elisa Maria Alessi

    IFAC-CNR

    Italy

    8

    Drag and solar sail deorbiting: re-entry time versus cumulative collision probability

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Camilla Colombo

    Politecnico di Milano

    Italy

    9

    Statistical comparison of ISO recommended thermosphere models and space weather proxy forecasting on re-entry predictions

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Benjamin Bastida Virgili

    European Space Agency (ESA)

    Germany

    10

    new aerothermodynamic models and atmospheric re-entry analysis for concave geometry elements of space debris

    15

    Dr. Ysolde PREVEREAUD

    ONERA - The French Aerospace Lab

    France

    11

    Gas-Kinetic Unified Algorithm for Boltzmann Model Equation and Applications to Aerodynamics during Low-Orbit Flight and Falling Disintegration of TG-type Spacecraft

    15

    confirmed

    Prof.Dr. Zhi-Hui Li

    China Aerodynamics Research and Development Center (CARDC) 

    China