IAF Digital Library

2

session 2

Title: Modelling and Risk Analysis
type: oral
Description: This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.
Date: 2018-10-02
Time: 09:45
Room: ZARM 1

IPC members

Co-Chair: Dr. Luciano Anselmo, ISTI-CNR, Italy;
Co-Chair: Mr. Dan Oltrogge, COMSPOC Corp., United States;
Rapporteur: Mr. Marlon Sorge, The Aerospace Corporation, United States;

papers
Order	Time	Paper title	Mode	Presentation status	Speaker	Affiliation	Country
1		A “Worn-out Net” Model for Analysis of Conflicts in a Multitude of Orbital Objects	15	confirmed	Ms. Tatyana V. Labutkina	Dnepropetrovsk National University named after Oles' Gonchar	Ukraine
2		estimation of orbital environment incorporating environmental change due to major breakups utilizing in-situ measurements	15	confirmed	Dr. Masahiro Furumoto	Kyushu University	Japan
3		Demisability of critical spacecraft components during atmospheric re-entry	15	confirmed	Mr. Patrik Kärräng	Hypersonic Technology Göttingen	Germany
4		Development of new analytical models for pressure and heat flux distribution on space debris afterbodies	15	withdrawn	Mr. Vincent Drouet	ONERA - The French Aerospace Lab	France
5		Improved representation of destructive spacecraft re-entry from analysis of high enthalpy wind tunnel tests of spacecraft structures and equipment	15	confirmed	Dr. James Beck	Belstead Research Ltd	United Kingdom
6		Particle flux analysis with the updated MASTER model	15	confirmed	Dr. Carsten Wiedemann	TU Braunschweig, Institute of Space Systems	Germany
7		GEO and MEO Space Debris Model Improvement Based on the Catalog of KIAM RAS	15	withdrawn	Dr. Mikhail Zakhvatkin	Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics of RAS	Russian Federation
8		Expected collision avoidance manoeuvre rates in DRAMA-ARES based on a history of Conjunction Data Messages	15	confirmed	Dr. Vitali Braun	IMS Space Consultancy	Germany
9		Assessing Potential for Cross-Contaminating Breakup Events from LEO to GEO	15	confirmed	Dr. Darren McKnight	Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)	United States
10		Effects of passive de-orbiting through drag and solar sails and electrodynamic tethers on the space debris environment	15	confirmed	Dr. Camilla Colombo	Politecnico di Milano	Italy
11		Examination of DebriSat Fragment Characteristics for Improved Fragmentation Modeling	15	confirmed	Mr. Marlon Sorge	The Aerospace Corporation	United States
12		Use of an Optimisation Technique for the Correlation of Aerodynamic Data on Geometric Primitives for Debris Demise Calculations	15	withdrawn	Mr. Nathan Donaldson	University of Oxford	United Kingdom