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  • session 2

    Title

    Modelling and Risk Analysis

    Description

    This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.

    Date

    2018-10-02

    Time

    09:45

    Room

    ZARM 1

    IPC members
    • Co-Chair: Dr. Luciano Anselmo, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    • Co-Chair: Mr. Dan Oltrogge, COMSPOC Corp., United States;

    • Rapporteur: Mr. Marlon Sorge, The Aerospace Corporation, United States;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    A “Worn-out Net” Model for Analysis of Conflicts in a Multitude of Orbital Objects

    15

    confirmed

    Ms. Tatyana V. Labutkina

    Dnepropetrovsk National University named after Oles' Gonchar

    Ukraine

    2

    estimation of orbital environment incorporating environmental change due to major breakups utilizing in-situ measurements

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Masahiro Furumoto

    Kyushu University

    Japan

    3

    Demisability of critical spacecraft components during atmospheric re-entry

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Patrik Kärräng

    Hypersonic Technology Göttingen

    Germany

    4

    Development of new analytical models for pressure and heat flux distribution on space debris afterbodies

    15

    withdrawn

    Mr. Vincent Drouet

    ONERA - The French Aerospace Lab

    France

    5

    Improved representation of destructive spacecraft re-entry from analysis of high enthalpy wind tunnel tests of spacecraft structures and equipment

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. James Beck

    Belstead Research Ltd

    United Kingdom

    6

    Particle flux analysis with the updated MASTER model

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Carsten Wiedemann

    TU Braunschweig, Institute of Space Systems

    Germany

    7

    GEO and MEO Space Debris Model Improvement Based on the Catalog of KIAM RAS

    15

    withdrawn

    Dr. Mikhail Zakhvatkin

    Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics of RAS

    Russian Federation

    8

    Expected collision avoidance manoeuvre rates in DRAMA-ARES based on a history of Conjunction Data Messages

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Vitali Braun

    IMS Space Consultancy

    Germany

    9

    Assessing Potential for Cross-Contaminating Breakup Events from LEO to GEO

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Darren McKnight

    Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)

    United States

    10

    Effects of passive de-orbiting through drag and solar sails and electrodynamic tethers on the space debris environment

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Camilla Colombo

    Politecnico di Milano

    Italy

    11

    Examination of DebriSat Fragment Characteristics for Improved Fragmentation Modeling

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Marlon Sorge

    The Aerospace Corporation

    United States

    12

    Use of an Optimisation Technique for the Correlation of Aerodynamic Data on Geometric Primitives for Debris Demise Calculations

    15

    withdrawn

    Mr. Nathan Donaldson

    University of Oxford

    United Kingdom