• Home
  • IAC Papers Archive
  • Public Website
  • My papers
  • Home
  • event
  • IAC-20
  • A6
  • 2
  • session 2

    Title

    Modeling and Risk Analysis

    Description

    This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.

    IPC members
    • Co-Chair: Dr. Carmen Pardini, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    • Co-Chair: Mr. Daniel Oltrogge, Analytical Graphics, Inc., United States;

    • Rapporteur: Mr. Marlon Sorge, The Aerospace Corporation, United States;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    Identifying the 50 Statistically Most Concerning Derelict Objects in LEO

    25

    confirmed

    Dr. Darren McKnight

    Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)

    United States

    2

    Assessing Debris Removal Services for Large Constellations

    15

    confirmed

    Ms. Harriet Brettle

    Astroscale Ltd

    United Kingdom

    3

    Risk assessment of recent high-interest conjunctions

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Daniel Oltrogge

    Analytical Graphics, Inc.

    United States

    4

    improving CA services: a post-analysis of the S3TOC data, products and operations.

    15

    confirmed

    Mrs. Cristina Perez Hernandez

    Centro Para el Desarrollo Tecnologico Industrial (CDTI)

    Spain

    5

    The IMPACT Satellite Fragmentation Model

    15

    Mr. Marlon Sorge

    The Aerospace Corporation

    United States

    6

    Improvements and updates in MASTER-8

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Carsten Wiedemann

    TU Braunschweig, Institute of Space Systems

    Germany

    7

    Long-term and short-term effects of large number of objects in each orbital altitude for considering space environmental capacity

    15

    withdrawn

    Dr. Satomi Kawamoto

    Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA)

    Japan

    8

    Describing the sustainability of the Space Debris Environment

    15

    confirmed

    Ms. Kerstin Soggeberg

    TU Braunschweig, Institute of Space Systems

    Germany

    9

    Development of a first principles approach to quantify and assess in-orbit risk

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Toby Harris

    UK Space Agency

    United Kingdom

    10

    Continuum model for studying the evolution of the space debris population

    15

    Dr. Camilla Colombo

    Politecnico di Milano

    Italy

    11

    A Novel Approach for the Accurate Simulation of Re-entry Fragmentation

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Sai Abhishek Peddakotla

    University of Strathclyde

    United Kingdom

    12

    An Evidence-Based Machine Learning Approach to Autonomous Collisions Risk Assessment and Collision Avoidance Execution

    confirmed

    Mr. Luis Sanchez

    Univeristy of Strathclyde

    United Kingdom

    13

    The long-term evolution and risk assessment of space debris in Mars orbits

    withdrawn

    Mrs. Isabell Suchantke

    Technische Universität Berlin

    Germany

    14

    A Review of Existing Methods for Real-time Atmospheric Density Corrections

    withdrawn

    Mr. Srinivas J. Setty

    European Space Agency (ESA/ESOC)

    Germany

    15

    risk analysis from geosynchronous satellites' debris after collision

    confirmed

    Dr. Haitao Zhang

    Space Engineering University (Beijing)

    China