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  • session 2

    Title

    Modeling and Risk Analysis

    Description

    This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.

    IPC members
    • Co-Chair: Dr. Carmen Pardini, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    • Co-Chair: Mr. Dan Oltrogge, COMSPOC Corp., United States;

    • Rapporteur: Mr. Marlon Sorge, The Aerospace Corporation, United States;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    KEYNOTE: Identifying the 50 Statistically Most Concerning Derelict Objects in LEO

    30

    confirmed

    Dr. Darren McKnight

    Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)

    United States

    3

    Risk assessment of recent high-interest conjunctions

    10

    confirmed

    Dr. Salvatore Alfano

    Analytical Graphics, Inc.

    United States

    4

    improving CA services: a post-analysis of the S3TOC data, products and operations.

    10

    confirmed

    Mrs. Cristina Perez Hernandez

    Centre for the Development of Industrial Technology (CDTI)

    Spain

    6

    Improvements and updates in MASTER-8

    10

    confirmed

    Dr. Carsten Wiedemann

    TU Braunschweig, Institute of Space Systems

    Germany

    9

    Development of a first principles approach to quantify and assess in-orbit risk

    10

    confirmed

    Mr. Toby Harris

    UK Space Agency

    United Kingdom

    11

    A Novel Approach for the Accurate Simulation of Re-entry Fragmentation

    10

    confirmed

    Mr. Sai Abhishek Peddakotla

    University of Strathclyde

    United Kingdom

    12

    An Evidence-Based Machine Learning Approach to Autonomous Collisions Risk Assessment and Collision Avoidance Execution

    10

    confirmed

    Mr. Luis Sanchez

    Univeristy of Strathclyde

    United Kingdom

    15

    risk analysis from geosynchronous satellites' debris after collision

    10

    confirmed

    Dr. Haitao Zhang

    Space Engineering University (Beijing)

    China