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  • session 2

    Title

    Modeling and Risk Analysis

    type

    oral

    Description

    This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active collision avoidance.

    Date

    2022-09-20

    Time

    15:00

    Room

    S04

    IPC members
    • Co-Chair: Mr. Marlon Sorge, The Aerospace Corporation, United States;

    • Co-Chair: Mr. Dan Oltrogge, COMSPOC Corp., United States;

    • Rapporteur: Dr. Carmen Pardini, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    15:00

    A Map of the Statistical Collision Risk in LEO

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Darren McKnight

    LeoLabs

    United States

    2

    15:15

    Finding the Upper Threshold of LEO Activity That Makes Long-Term Space Operations Unsustainable

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Gregory Henning

    The Aerospace Corporation

    United States

    3

    15:30

    A network-based risk analysis for space traffic management

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Matteo Romano

    University of Namur (FUNDP)

    Belgium

    4

    15:45

    Should I stay or should I go? Machine Learning applied to Conjunction Analysis

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Carlos Paulete

    GMV Aerospace & Defence SAU

    Spain

    5

    16:00

    SWOT reentry: maneuvers strategy and risk computation

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Aurélie Bellucci

    Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES)

    France

    6

    16:15

    A participative approach to space debris risk and mitigation analyses

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Vitali Braun

    IMS Space Consultancy

    Germany

    7

    16:30

    Prediction of the debris distribution in LEO based on a long-term evolution model of the space environment

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Sifeng Bi

    University of Strathclyde / Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering

    United Kingdom

    8

    16:45

    Modelling the resilience of space infrastructure to collisions in space

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Oliver Pike

    University of Bristol

    United Kingdom

    9

    17:00

    A Cramer- Rao Lower Bound-based evaluation of Space Surveillance Network data for collision risk assessment

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Vinod Kumar

    Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO)

    India

    10

    17:15

    Simulations of satellites mock-up fragmentation

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Lorenzo Olivieri

    CISAS "G. Colombo" - University of Padova

    Italy