• Home
  • IAF Digital Library
  • Public Website
  • My papers
  • Home
  • event
  • IAC-24
  • A6
  • 2
  • session 2

    Title

    Modeling and Risk Analysis

    Description

    This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active collision avoidance.

    Date

    2024-10-17

    Time

    15:00

    Room

    Brown Hall 3

    IPC members
    • Co-Chair: Mr. Marlon Sorge, The Aerospace Corporation, United States;

    • Co-Chair: Mr. Dan Oltrogge, COMSPOC Corp., United States;

    • Rapporteur: Dr. Carmen Pardini, ISTI-CNR, Italy;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    15:00

    Investigating the Prediction of Debris Risks Given Uncertainties in Models and Assumptions

    10

    confirmed

    Dr. Anne Aryadne Bennett

    Northrop Grumman Corporation

    United States

    2

    15:10

    Reassessment of target objects and mission requirements for active debris removal due to changes in the on-orbit environment

    10

    Dr. Satomi Kawamoto

    Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA)

    Japan

    3

    15:20

    a point process formulation for long term propagation of population statistics

    10

    confirmed

    Dr. Christophe Taillan

    Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES)

    France

    4

    15:30

    Operational model for computation of uncertainty window in tracking and impact prediction of uncontrolled artificial space objects re-entry on Earth

    10

    confirmed

    Mr. Damiano Errico

    Italian Air Force

    Italy

    5

    15:40

    Investigation of the demise behaviour of critical CubeSat components in a plasma wind tunnel

    10

    confirmed

    Mr. Iftekher Ahamed

    Institute of Space Systems, University of Stuttgart

    Germany

    6

    15:50

    On-orbit breakup forensics: analysis of measurement data to reconstruct fragmentation events in space

    10

    confirmed

    Prof. Camilla Colombo

    Politecnico di Milano

    Italy

    7

    16:00

    Debris proliferation modeling and risk analysis for cislunar orbits

    10

    confirmed

    Mr. Amlan Sinha

    Princeton University

    United States

    8

    16:10

    Space Traffic Coordination Framework for Success

    10

    confirmed

    Dr. Darren McKnight

    LeoLabs

    United States

    9

    16:20

    Integration of Air ANd Space Traffic Management: Establishing Criteria for Mitigating Space and Launch Debris Hazards

    10

    confirmed

    Prof.Dr. Michael Kezirian

    University of Southern California

    United States

    10

    16:30

    MAS – A Mission Analysis Software for Collision Risk Quantification and Impact Assessment of Rule-Based Decision-Making for Collision Avoidance

    10

    confirmed

    Mr. Simon Burgis

    TU Darmstadt

    Germany

    11

    16:40

    The impact of SATCON recommendations on the safety and sustainability of large constellations

    10

    confirmed

    Ms. Megan Perks

    University of Southampton

    United Kingdom

    12*

    16:50

    estimating the environmental impacts of a derelict object on current and future operational spacecraft

    10

    Mr. Matthew Duncan

    SpaceNav, LLC

    United States

    13*

    16:50

    Robust metric for spacecraft collision risk estimation

    10

    confirmed

    Mr. yema paul

    ISAE-Supaero University of Toulouse

    France

    14*

    16:50

    Search for MEO Long-Term Reentry Disposal Orbits near GPS With Reduced Reentry Casualty Risk

    10

    confirmed

    Mr. Alan B. Jenkin

    The Aerospace Corporation

    United States

    15*

    16:50

    A comprehensive assessment of rocket body related space debris and discussion of suitable means of risk reduction.

    10

    confirmed

    Ms. Sophie Förste

    Institute of Space Systems, University of Stuttgart

    Germany

    16*

    16:50

    A numerical model for CFRP fragmentation under hypervelocity impacts

    10

    confirmed

    Mr. Stefano Lopresti

    CISAS "G. Colombo" - University of Padova

    Italy

    17*

    16:50

    Innovative method for examining the orbital progression of a debris cloud

    10

    confirmed

    Dr. Rachit Bhatia

    West Virginia University

    United States