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  • 4-A6.10
  • session 4-A6.10

    Title

    Space carrying capacity assessment and allocation

    Description

    Space in Earth’s orbit has a finite capacity and, due to the boosting of space activities, the space orbital system is slowly overloading. Assessing and managing orbital carrying capacity requires an international and interdisciplinary approach that embrace space engineering, policy, and economy. This session covers the theoretical approaches, computational tools, and techniques to measure space environment thresholds and overall carrying capacity of space. It will discuss proxies for monitoring boundaries for the maximum capacity, such as space debris metrics. The application of these metrics to space debris evolution scenarios and their role in the definition of debris mitigation guidelines will be discussed. This session will also address the legal and policy implications, including relevance to regulation and licensing, the needed steps to enforce the implementation of capacity thresholds evaluation, and correlation with space debris mitigation measures. Finally, economic incentives or payments systems for ensuring sustainable space activities will be discussed. This is a frontier topic in the space debris field: modelling and simulations of the debris environment are applied to the definition of indicators for the management of the space traffic and links with space law and policy. This topic is one example of Space Science Diplomacy.

    Date

    2024-10-18

    Time

    13:45

    Room

    Brown Hall 1

    IPC members
    • Co-Chair: Dr. Peter Martinez, Secure World Foundation, United States;

    • Co-Chair: Prof. Camilla Colombo, Politecnico di Milano, Italy;

    • Co-Chair: Dr. Francesca Letizia, European Space Agency (ESA), The Netherlands;

    • Rapporteur: Dr. Alessandro Rossi, IFAC-CNR, Italy;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    13:45

    The Relevancy of Orbital Carrying Capacity to Space Policy and Regulation

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Ian Christensen

    Secure World Foundation

    United States

    2

    14:00

    A Space Environment Index Based on Minimum Orbital Intersection Distance——MBSI

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Qingbo Gan

    National Astronomical Observatories,Chinese Academy of Sciences

    China

    3

    14:15

    Correlating LEO Sustainability to Targeted Debris Mitigation Methods Using a Simple Metric

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Gregory Henning

    The Aerospace Corporation

    United States

    4

    14:30

    Low Earth Orbit capacity thresholds investigation for a sustainable use of the space environment

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Andrea Muciaccia

    Politecnico di Milano

    Italy

    5

    14:45

    Verification of correlation between a debris index and an orbital environment evolution and considerations of a capacity

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Ryusuke Harada

    Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA)

    Japan

    6

    15:00

    Mission-based and environment-based approaches for assessing the severity of a space debris evolution scenario from a sustainability perspective

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Francesca Letizia

    European Space Agency (ESA)

    The Netherlands

    7

    15:15

    Orbital Carrying Capacity Metrics, Calculations, and Regulation

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Mark Sturza

    ViaSat Inc.

    United States

    8

    15:30

    A stable equilibrium for the LEO orbital capacity

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Giovanni Lavezzi

    Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)

    United States

    9

    15:45

    Normalizing Orbital Capacity Characterization

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Darren McKnight

    LeoLabs

    United States

    10

    16:00

    Closing the Loop Between Space Capacity and Life Cycle Assessment: a Network-Theoretic Approach

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Yirui Wang

    University of Strathclyde

    United Kingdom

    11*

    16:15

    Integrating orbital carrying capacity into international policy constructs: Leveraging best practices from aviation's risk-based norms.

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Ruth Stilwell

    Aerospace Policy Solutions, LLC

    United States

    12*

    16:15

    Extending a Risk Metric for Individual Missions to Evaluate Overall Risk in Orbit

    15

    confirmed

    Mr. Callum Wilson

    University of Strathclyde

    United Kingdom

    13*

    16:15

    Modelling collision risk in space traffic from the perspective of the Resident Space Objects Network

    15

    confirmed

    Dr. Matteo Romano

    University of Namur (FUNDP)

    Belgium

    14*

    16:15

    Application of active feedback control for investigation of debris mitigation strategies on a density-based model of the population evolution

    15

    confirmed

    Ms. Martina Rusconi

    Politecnico di Milano

    Italy

    15*

    16:15

    Assessing Orbital Capacity with a Space Occupancy Model

    15

    withdrawn

    Dr. Claudio Bombardelli

    Universidad Politécnica de Madrid

    Spain