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  • A6
  • 10-E9.4
  • session 10-E9.4

    Title

    Space Carrying Capacity Assessment and Allocation

    type

    oral

    Description

    Space in Earth’s orbit has a finite capacity and, due to the boosting of space activities, the space orbital system is slowly overloading. Assessing and managing orbital carrying capacity requires an international and interdisciplinary approach that embrace space engineering, policy, and economy. This session covers the theoretical approaches, computational tools, and techniques to measure space environment thresholds and overall carrying capacity of space. It will discuss proxies for monitoring boundaries for the maximum capacity, such as space debris metrics. The application of these metrics to space debris evolution scenarios and their role in the definition of debris mitigation guidelines will be discussed. This session will also address the legal and policy implications, including relevance to regulation and licensing, the needed steps to enforce the implementation of capacity thresholds evaluation, and correlation with space debris mitigation measures. Finally, economic incentives or payments systems for ensuring sustainable space activities will be discussed. This is a frontier topic in the space debris field: modelling and simulations of the debris environment are applied to the definition of indicators for the management of the space traffic and links with space law and policy. This topic is one example of Space Science Diplomacy.

    Date

    2025-10-03

    Time

    13:45

    Room

    Room C2.5

    IPC members
    • Co-Chair: Prof. Camilla Colombo, Politecnico di Milano, Italy;

    • Co-Chair: Mr. Didier Alary, International Academy of Astronautics (IAA), France;

    • Rapporteur: Dr. Peter Martinez, Secure World Foundation, United States;

    • Rapporteur: Dr. Alessandro Rossi, IFAC-CNR, Italy;

    papers

    Order

    Time

    Paper title

    Mode

    Presentation status

    Speaker

    Affiliation

    Country

    1

    13:45

    Space Sustainability and Risks from Small Orbital Debris

    13

    confirmed

    Dr. J.-C. Liou

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

    United States

    2

    13:58

    Comparison of Methodologies for Assessing Space Capacity and Ranking Orbital Region Risks

    13

    confirmed

    Dr. Andrea Muciaccia

    Politecnico di Milano

    Italy

    3

    14:11

    Debris index for varying debris mitigation requirements to account for large constellations and orbital capacity

    13

    confirmed

    Dr. Satomi Kawamoto

    Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA)

    Japan

    4

    14:24

    Sustainability of commercial space operations and the integration of Space and Air Traffic Management

    13

    confirmed

    Dr. Paola Breda

    International Space University (ISU)

    Germany

    5

    14:37

    space carrying capacity assessment based on a multidisciplinary space debris environment evolution model

    13

    confirmed

    Ms. Yurun Yuan

    Beijing Institute of Technology

    China

    6

    14:50

    Let’s Talk Guidance Targets: Constellation Control Boxes for Safety by Design

    13

    confirmed

    Mr. Ryan W. Shepperd

    Iridium

    United States

    7

    Holistic Approach to Space Carrying Capacity

    13

    withdrawn

    Mr. Mark Sturza

    ViaSat Inc.

    United States

    8

    15:03

    Impact of Tracking Uncertainties on Orbital Slotting Strategies and Orbital Capacity

    13

    confirmed

    Mr. Mahhad Nayyer

    Purdue University

    United States

    10

    15:16

    Resolving the Byproducts from Space Debris Demise in the Atmosphere for Carrying Capacity Assessments

    13

    confirmed

    Mr. José Pedro Ferreira

    Viterbi School of Engineering, USC

    United States

    11

    15:29

    An Updated Study of Operational Sustainability in Low Earth Orbit (LEO) in a Congested Future

    13

    confirmed

    Mr. Gregory Henning

    The Aerospace Corporation

    United States