IAF Digital Library

2

session 2

Title: Modelling and Risk Analysis
type: oral
Description: This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collission risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.
Date: 2017-09-26
Time: 09:45
Room: Hall E1

IPC members

Co-Chair: Dr. Carmen Pardini, ISTI-CNR, Italy;
Co-Chair: Mr. Dan Oltrogge, COMSPOC Corp., United States;
Rapporteur: Mr. Marlon Sorge, The Aerospace Corporation, United States;

papers
Order	Time	Paper title	Mode	Presentation status	Speaker	Affiliation	Country
1		Preliminary Analysis of Two Years of the Massive Collision Monitoring Activity	15	confirmed	Dr. Darren McKnight	Integrity Applications Incorporated (IAI)	United States
2		Mitigation Measures for Large Constellations	15	confirmed	Dr. Hugh Lewis	University of Southampton	United Kingdom
3		Towards State Uncertainty Accuracy Requirements for Actionable GEO Collision Risk Assessments	15	confirmed	Mr. Sven Kevin Flegel	Space Environment Research Centre Ltd. (SERC)	Australia
4		A Comprehensive Assessment of Collision Risk in Geosynchronous Earth Orbit	15	confirmed	Mr. Daniel Oltrogge	Analytical Graphics, Inc.	United States
5		Analysis of Initial Debris Fragment Characterization from DebriSat	15	confirmed	Mr. Marlon Sorge	The Aerospace Corporation	United States
6		Evolution of Fragmentation Cloud in Highly Eccentric Orbit using Representative Objects	15	confirmed	Mr. Stefan Frey	Politecnico di Milano	Italy
7		Dynamical mapping of the LEO region for passive disposal design	15	confirmed	Dr. Elisa Maria Alessi	IFAC-CNR	Italy
8		Drag and solar sail deorbiting: re-entry time versus cumulative collision probability	15	confirmed	Dr. Camilla Colombo	Politecnico di Milano	Italy
9		Statistical comparison of ISO recommended thermosphere models and space weather proxy forecasting on re-entry predictions	15	confirmed	Mr. Benjamin Bastida Virgili	European Space Agency (ESA)	Germany
10		new aerothermodynamic models and atmospheric re-entry analysis for concave geometry elements of space debris	15		Dr. Ysolde PREVEREAUD	ONERA - The French Aerospace Lab	France
11		Gas-Kinetic Unified Algorithm for Boltzmann Model Equation and Applications to Aerodynamics during Low-Orbit Flight and Falling Disintegration of TG-type Spacecraft	15	confirmed	Prof.Dr. Zhi-Hui Li	China Aerodynamics Research and Development Center (CARDC)	China